There aren’t $10B worth of giving opportunities that I’d be excited about supporting now, for essentially the same reasons why Open Phil isn’t giving everything away over the next few years. Basically, we expect (and I agree) that there will be more, better giving opportunities in the medium-term future and so it makes sense to save the marginal dollar for future giving, at least right now. There would likely be some differences between what I would fund and what Open Phil is currently funding due to different intuitions about the most promising interventions to investigate with scarce capacity, but I don’t expect them to be large.
There aren’t $10B worth of giving opportunities that I’d be excited about supporting now, for essentially the same reasons why Open Phil isn’t giving everything away over the next few years. Basically, we expect (and I agree) that there will be more, better giving opportunities in the medium-term future and so it makes sense to save the marginal dollar for future giving, at least right now. There would likely be some differences between what I would fund and what Open Phil is currently funding due to different intuitions about the most promising interventions to investigate with scarce capacity, but I don’t expect them to be large.