I think the comparison to “the current average experience a college graduate has” isn’t quite fair, because the group of people who see 80k’s advice and act on is is already quite selected for lots of traits (e.g. altruism). I would be surprised if the average person influenced by 80k’s EtG advice had the average college graduate experience in terms of which careers they consider and hence, where they look for advice, e.g. they might already be more inclined to go into policy, the non-profit sector or research to do good.
(I have no opinion on how your point comes out on the whole. I wasn’t around in 2015, but intuitively it would also surprise me if 80k didn’t do substantially more good during that time than bad, even bracketing out community building effects (, which, admittedly, is hard))
I think the comparison to “the current average experience a college graduate has” isn’t quite fair, because the group of people who see 80k’s advice and act on is is already quite selected for lots of traits (e.g. altruism). I would be surprised if the average person influenced by 80k’s EtG advice had the average college graduate experience in terms of which careers they consider and hence, where they look for advice, e.g. they might already be more inclined to go into policy, the non-profit sector or research to do good.
(I have no opinion on how your point comes out on the whole. I wasn’t around in 2015, but intuitively it would also surprise me if 80k didn’t do substantially more good during that time than bad, even bracketing out community building effects (, which, admittedly, is hard))