have high transparency and generally justify their beliefs.
And even then, they’re not doing great on these on an absolute scale. Estimates for a given x-risk intervention are going to be many orders of magnitude harder to quantify than bednets, and interventions that are longtermist but not x-risk-related harder still.
I have no inside information, but I think a major reason OpenPhil doesn’t want small donations is that they don’t want to have to justify their investments, when legible justification is basically impossible.
Grantmakers could probably provide more information about their grants than they currently do; there are several posts on this forum explaining why they don’t.
GiveWell and ACE (aspirationally):
provide highly quantified results
have relatively small confidence intervals
have high transparency and generally justify their beliefs.
And even then, they’re not doing great on these on an absolute scale. Estimates for a given x-risk intervention are going to be many orders of magnitude harder to quantify than bednets, and interventions that are longtermist but not x-risk-related harder still.
I have no inside information, but I think a major reason OpenPhil doesn’t want small donations is that they don’t want to have to justify their investments, when legible justification is basically impossible.
Grantmakers could probably provide more information about their grants than they currently do; there are several posts on this forum explaining why they don’t.