In this post, I’ll argue that when counterfactual reasoning is applied the way Effective Altruist decisions and funding occurs in practice, there is a preventable anti-cooperative bias that is being created, and that this is making us as a movement less impactful than we could be.
One case I’ve previously thought about is that some naive forms of patient philanthropy could be like this—trying to take credit for spending on the “best” interventions.
I’ve polished a old draft and posted it as short-form with some discussion of this (in the When patient philanthropy is counterfactual section).
Thanks for the post!
One case I’ve previously thought about is that some naive forms of patient philanthropy could be like this—trying to take credit for spending on the “best” interventions.
I’ve polished a old draft and posted it as short-form with some discussion of this (in the When patient philanthropy is counterfactual section).