Executive summary: The author agrees with Leopold Aschenbrenner’s report on the imminence and risks of artificial superintelligence (ASI), but argues that alignment is not tractable and urgent action is needed to halt or restrict ASI development to avoid catastrophic outcomes.
Key points:
The author agrees with Aschenbrenner that full AGI and ASI are likely only 5-15 years away, and that this technology poses an existential risk if mishandled.
Current AI developers are not taking the risks seriously enough and need to prioritize security and limited access to intellectual property.
Aschenbrenner’s report mischaracterizes the situation by suggesting that controllable ASI is feasible; the author argues that if anyone builds ASI with our current level of understanding, it will likely lead to human extinction.
The author calls for urgent action from the US government, including leading an international alliance to prohibit smarter-than-human AI development and restricting frontier AI development to monitored compute clusters.
Rapid action is needed based on the realities of the situation, rather than treating ASI like less dangerous technologies.
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Executive summary: The author agrees with Leopold Aschenbrenner’s report on the imminence and risks of artificial superintelligence (ASI), but argues that alignment is not tractable and urgent action is needed to halt or restrict ASI development to avoid catastrophic outcomes.
Key points:
The author agrees with Aschenbrenner that full AGI and ASI are likely only 5-15 years away, and that this technology poses an existential risk if mishandled.
Current AI developers are not taking the risks seriously enough and need to prioritize security and limited access to intellectual property.
Aschenbrenner’s report mischaracterizes the situation by suggesting that controllable ASI is feasible; the author argues that if anyone builds ASI with our current level of understanding, it will likely lead to human extinction.
The author calls for urgent action from the US government, including leading an international alliance to prohibit smarter-than-human AI development and restricting frontier AI development to monitored compute clusters.
Rapid action is needed based on the realities of the situation, rather than treating ASI like less dangerous technologies.
This comment was auto-generated by the EA Forum Team. Feel free to point out issues with this summary by replying to the comment, and contact us if you have feedback.