We do track whether predictions have a positive (āgood thing will happenā) or negative (ābad thing will happenā) framing, so testing for optimism/āpessimism bias is definitely possible. However, only 2% of predictions have a negative framing, so our sample size is too low to say anything conclusive about this yet.
Enriching our database with base rates and categories would be fantastic, but my hunch is that given the nature and phrasing of our questions this would be impossible to do at scale. Iām much more bullish on per-predictor analyses and thatās more or less what weāre doing with the individual dashboards.
We do track whether predictions have a positive (āgood thing will happenā) or negative (ābad thing will happenā) framing, so testing for optimism/āpessimism bias is definitely possible. However, only 2% of predictions have a negative framing, so our sample size is too low to say anything conclusive about this yet.
Enriching our database with base rates and categories would be fantastic, but my hunch is that given the nature and phrasing of our questions this would be impossible to do at scale. Iām much more bullish on per-predictor analyses and thatās more or less what weāre doing with the individual dashboards.