I think the slavery example is a strong example of longtermism having good outcomes, and it probably increased the amount of urgency to reduce slavery.
My base rate for “this time it’s different” arguments are low, except for ones that focus on extinction risk. Like if you mess up and everyone dies, that’s unrecoverable. But for other things I am skeptical.
I think the slavery example is a strong example of longtermism having good outcomes, and it probably increased the amount of urgency to reduce slavery.
My base rate for “this time it’s different” arguments are low, except for ones that focus on extinction risk. Like if you mess up and everyone dies, that’s unrecoverable. But for other things I am skeptical.