Executive summary: The US-China relationship faces increasing catastrophic risks, particularly around nuclear security, AI, and biosafety, due to growing military tensions, technological competition, and fundamental differences in governance and information sharing.
Key points:
Risk of nuclear conflict is rising due to China’s nuclear buildup, launch-on-warning capabilities, and new technologies like hypersonic missiles.
China’s increasingly closed and authoritarian system hampers risk reduction efforts and crisis management.
AI and biotech development in China may be especially risky due to techno-optimism, ambitious state goals, and poor safety records.
Experts recommend promoting expert exchanges, strengthening deterrence, and carefully calibrating US policies to balance competition and cooperation.
Addressing underlying systemic disagreements between the US and China is crucial for long-term risk reduction.
US semiconductor export controls are seen as effective for now, but their long-term impact is uncertain.
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Executive summary: The US-China relationship faces increasing catastrophic risks, particularly around nuclear security, AI, and biosafety, due to growing military tensions, technological competition, and fundamental differences in governance and information sharing.
Key points:
Risk of nuclear conflict is rising due to China’s nuclear buildup, launch-on-warning capabilities, and new technologies like hypersonic missiles.
China’s increasingly closed and authoritarian system hampers risk reduction efforts and crisis management.
AI and biotech development in China may be especially risky due to techno-optimism, ambitious state goals, and poor safety records.
Experts recommend promoting expert exchanges, strengthening deterrence, and carefully calibrating US policies to balance competition and cooperation.
Addressing underlying systemic disagreements between the US and China is crucial for long-term risk reduction.
US semiconductor export controls are seen as effective for now, but their long-term impact is uncertain.
This comment was auto-generated by the EA Forum Team. Feel free to point out issues with this summary by replying to the comment, and contact us if you have feedback.