Proposition 1. The expected value of the world is finite if existential risk does not converge to zero.
I just wanted to note the overall expected value of the world may be driven by cases in which existential risk converges to 0, because the future should be discounted at its minimum. I also have the impression supporters of existential risk mitigation find the converge of existential risk to 0 quite plausible. In any case, I think there will still be convergence of the value of mitigation. After a sufficiently long time, the counterfactual value of mitigation will be 0 due to evidential symmetry, so the sum describing the value of mitigation will end in … 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 …, thus converging.
Hi Arvo,
I just wanted to note the overall expected value of the world may be driven by cases in which existential risk converges to 0, because the future should be discounted at its minimum. I also have the impression supporters of existential risk mitigation find the converge of existential risk to 0 quite plausible. In any case, I think there will still be convergence of the value of mitigation. After a sufficiently long time, the counterfactual value of mitigation will be 0 due to evidential symmetry, so the sum describing the value of mitigation will end in … 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 …, thus converging.