[ETA: By the end of 2016 this problem no longer seems like the most serious.]
…
[ETA: while robust learning remains a traditional AI challenge, it is not at all clear that it is possible. And meta-execution actually seems like the ingredient furthest from existing ML practice, as well as having non-obvious feasibility.]
My interpretation of this is that between March 2016 and the end of 2016, Paul updated the difficulty of his approach upwards. (I think given the context, he means that other problems, namely robust learning and meta-execution, are harder, not that informed oversight has become easier.) I wanted to point this out to make sure you updated on his update. Clearly Paul still thinks his approach is more promising than HRAD, but perhaps not by as much as before.
Daniel, while re-reading one of Paul’s posts from March 2016, I just noticed the following:
My interpretation of this is that between March 2016 and the end of 2016, Paul updated the difficulty of his approach upwards. (I think given the context, he means that other problems, namely robust learning and meta-execution, are harder, not that informed oversight has become easier.) I wanted to point this out to make sure you updated on his update. Clearly Paul still thinks his approach is more promising than HRAD, but perhaps not by as much as before.