Also, there’s a statement in a publicly-accessible stand up meeting summary (speaker unknown) that “I also tentatively think Manifund wants to end the charity program after this”
Speaker there was me—I think there’s like a ~70% chance we decide to end the charity program after this round of payments, tentatively as of May 15 or or end of May.
The primary reason is that the real money cash outs should supersede it, and running the charity program is operationally kind of annoying. The charity program is neither a core focus for Manifold or Manifund, so we might not want to keep it up. Will make a broader announcement if this ends up being the case.
Agree that real money cash outs would largely supersede this, but that’s conditional on them actually happening and sticking around. It doesn’t sound to me like real money is likely to roll out next month, though.
Yeah—though in practice the charity payouts are transferred once a quarter anyways, so a month or two delay in rolling out payouts wouldn’t change the results much.
In any case, definitely think now is a great time as any to do your charity allocations, given our general uncertainty on how all of this will look!
(I’m pretty bullish on sweepstakes payouts actually happening, I think like 80% chance this year. If they don’t, then probably something like the charity program would make sense again)
Also, there’s a statement in a publicly-accessible stand up meeting summary (speaker unknown) that “I also tentatively think Manifund wants to end the charity program after this”
https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Standup-de82dcce7411478fa52048c229a2eda2
(screenshot on file in my email)
Speaker there was me—I think there’s like a ~70% chance we decide to end the charity program after this round of payments, tentatively as of May 15 or or end of May.
The primary reason is that the real money cash outs should supersede it, and running the charity program is operationally kind of annoying. The charity program is neither a core focus for Manifold or Manifund, so we might not want to keep it up. Will make a broader announcement if this ends up being the case.
Agree that real money cash outs would largely supersede this, but that’s conditional on them actually happening and sticking around. It doesn’t sound to me like real money is likely to roll out next month, though.
Yeah—though in practice the charity payouts are transferred once a quarter anyways, so a month or two delay in rolling out payouts wouldn’t change the results much.
In any case, definitely think now is a great time as any to do your charity allocations, given our general uncertainty on how all of this will look!
(I’m pretty bullish on sweepstakes payouts actually happening, I think like 80% chance this year. If they don’t, then probably something like the charity program would make sense again)