A benign singleton might do that. Even if the odds are against this, it doesn’t seem wildly unlikely. The same is true of space settlement. There may well be unforeseen developments with the same effect. We could reasonably assign a subjective probability of five or ten percent to the possibility that something will ensure our long-term survival.
Thanks! Just my subjective judgement. I feel pretty confident that 0.5% would be too low. I’d be more open to the view that 5-10% isn’t high enough. If the latter is true, then that would strengthen my argument. I’d be interested what other people think.
Huh? Why five percent? Why not 0.5%? Why not 50%?
Thanks! Just my subjective judgement. I feel pretty confident that 0.5% would be too low. I’d be more open to the view that 5-10% isn’t high enough. If the latter is true, then that would strengthen my argument. I’d be interested what other people think.