GDP will double in 6 months before it doubles in 24 months
Does anyone have the original version of this? The transcript says that Adam is (perhaps incorrectly) paraphrasing Paul Christiano.
I think I have some intuition about what this is getting at, but I don’t think this statement is precisely correct (surely GDP has to double in 24 months before it doubles in six months, as long as there is at least 24 months of data).
Does anyone have the original version of this? The transcript says that Adam is (perhaps incorrectly) paraphrasing Paul Christiano.
I think I have some intuition about what this is getting at, but I don’t think this statement is precisely correct (surely GDP has to double in 24 months before it doubles in six months, as long as there is at least 24 months of data).
Christiano operationalises a slow takeoff as
in Takeoff speeds, and a fast takeoff as one where there isn’t a complete 4 year interval before the first 1 year interval.