I’m not sure I’m fully following, but I think the “almost exactly the same time” point is key (and I was getting at something similar with “However, note that this doesn’t seem to have happened in ~13.77 billion years so far since the universe began, and according to the above sections, there’s only about 1.5 billion years left for it to happen before we spread throughout the galaxy”). The other thing is that I’m not sure the “observation selection effect” does much to make this less “wild”: anthropically, it seems much more likely that we’d be in a later-in-time, higher-population civilization than an early-in-time, low-population one.
The other thing is that I’m not sure the “observation selection effect” does much to make this less “wild”: anthropically, it seems much more likely that we’d be in a later-in-time, higher-population civilization than an early-in-time, low-population one.
That’s a good point: my hypothesis doesn’t help to make reality seem any less wild.
I’m not sure I’m fully following, but I think the “almost exactly the same time” point is key (and I was getting at something similar with “However, note that this doesn’t seem to have happened in ~13.77 billion years so far since the universe began, and according to the above sections, there’s only about 1.5 billion years left for it to happen before we spread throughout the galaxy”). The other thing is that I’m not sure the “observation selection effect” does much to make this less “wild”: anthropically, it seems much more likely that we’d be in a later-in-time, higher-population civilization than an early-in-time, low-population one.
That’s a good point: my hypothesis doesn’t help to make reality seem any less wild.