Thanks Vasco! I’ll come back to this to respond in a bit more depth next week (this is a busy week).
In the meantime, curious what you make of my point that setting a prior that gives only a 1 in 15 trillion chance of experiencing an extinction-level war in any given year seems wrong?
I’ll come back to this to respond in a bit more depth next week (this is a busy week).
No worries, and thanks for still managing to make an in-depth comment!
In the meantime, curious what you make of my point that setting a prior that gives only a 1 in 15 trillion chance of experiencing an extinction-level war in any given year seems wrong?
I only managed to reply to 3 of your points yesterday and during this evening, but I plan to address that 4th one still today.
Thanks Vasco! I’ll come back to this to respond in a bit more depth next week (this is a busy week).
In the meantime, curious what you make of my point that setting a prior that gives only a 1 in 15 trillion chance of experiencing an extinction-level war in any given year seems wrong?
You are welcome, Stephen!
No worries, and thanks for still managing to make an in-depth comment!
I only managed to reply to 3 of your points yesterday and during this evening, but I plan to address that 4th one still today.