This is an excellent point that again highlights the problem of labeling something “Longtermist” when many expect it to transpire within their lifetimes.Perhaps rather than a spectrum of “Respectable <-> Speculative” the label could be a more neutral (though more of a mouthful) “High Uncertainty Discounting <-> Low Uncertainty Discounting”
This is an excellent point that again highlights the problem of labeling something “Longtermist” when many expect it to transpire within their lifetimes.
Perhaps rather than a spectrum of “Respectable <-> Speculative” the label could be a more neutral (though more of a mouthful) “High Uncertainty Discounting <-> Low Uncertainty Discounting”