I agree with this, and the “drastic reduction in long term value” part is even worse. It is implicitly counterfactual—drastic reductions have to be in reference to *something * - but what exactly the proposed counterfactual is is extremely vague. I worry that to some extent this vagueness will lead to people not exploring some answers to the question because they’re trying to self impose a “sensible counterfactual” constraint which, due to vagueness, won’t actually line up well with the kinds of counterfactuals the FTX foundation is interested in exploring.
I agree with this, and the “drastic reduction in long term value” part is even worse. It is implicitly counterfactual—drastic reductions have to be in reference to *something * - but what exactly the proposed counterfactual is is extremely vague. I worry that to some extent this vagueness will lead to people not exploring some answers to the question because they’re trying to self impose a “sensible counterfactual” constraint which, due to vagueness, won’t actually line up well with the kinds of counterfactuals the FTX foundation is interested in exploring.