This forum post is an interesting example in nuclear war of how experts can improve and critique outputs from generalist forecasters.
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/W8dpCJGkwrwn7BfLk/nuclear-expert-comment-on-samotsvety-nuclear-risk-forecast-2
Thanks that was a useful read.
This forum post is an interesting example in nuclear war of how experts can improve and critique outputs from generalist forecasters.
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/W8dpCJGkwrwn7BfLk/nuclear-expert-comment-on-samotsvety-nuclear-risk-forecast-2
Thanks that was a useful read.