explains how some popular approaches that might seem to differ are actually doing the same, but implicitly
Yep, I think this is a crucial point that I worry has still gotten buried a bit in my writings. This post is important background. Basically: You might say “I don’t just rely on an inside view world model and EV max’ing under that model, I use outside views / heuristics / ‘priors’.” But it seems the justification for those other methods bottoms out in “I believe that following these methods will lead to good consequences under uncertainty in some sense” — and then I don’t see how these beliefs escape cluelessness.
Yep, I think this is a crucial point that I worry has still gotten buried a bit in my writings. This post is important background. Basically: You might say “I don’t just rely on an inside view world model and EV max’ing under that model, I use outside views / heuristics / ‘priors’.” But it seems the justification for those other methods bottoms out in “I believe that following these methods will lead to good consequences under uncertainty in some sense” — and then I don’t see how these beliefs escape cluelessness.