I think we’re on a similar page regarding double-counting—the approach you describe seems like roughly what I was going for. (My last comment was admittedly phrased in an overly all-or-nothing way, but I think the numbers I attached suggest that I wasn’t totally eliminating the weight on history.)
On whether we see “reasons for negative weight” differently, I think that might be semantic—I had in mind the net weight, as you suggest (I was claiming this net weight was 0). The suggestion that digital minds might be affected just by their being different is a good point that I hadn’t been thinking about. (I could imagine some people speculating that this won’t be much of a problem because influential minds will also eventually tend to be digital.) I tentatively think that does justify a mildly negative weight on digital minds, with the other factors you mention seeming to be fully accounted for in other weights.
I think we’re on a similar page regarding double-counting—the approach you describe seems like roughly what I was going for. (My last comment was admittedly phrased in an overly all-or-nothing way, but I think the numbers I attached suggest that I wasn’t totally eliminating the weight on history.)
On whether we see “reasons for negative weight” differently, I think that might be semantic—I had in mind the net weight, as you suggest (I was claiming this net weight was 0). The suggestion that digital minds might be affected just by their being different is a good point that I hadn’t been thinking about. (I could imagine some people speculating that this won’t be much of a problem because influential minds will also eventually tend to be digital.) I tentatively think that does justify a mildly negative weight on digital minds, with the other factors you mention seeming to be fully accounted for in other weights.