I would actually push back on CEA being a bigger failure node than in the past. I think a smaller share of people identifying as working on ‘effective altruism’ are in CEA than ever before. GiveWell has grown faster than us, and we now have other groups like CS too.
Also, CEA is an incubator for many different projects, so it would be surprising for them all to collapse simultaneously.
I would actually push back on CEA being a bigger failure node than in the past. I think a smaller share of people identifying as working on ‘effective altruism’ are in CEA than ever before. GiveWell has grown faster than us, and we now have other groups like CS too.
Also, CEA is an incubator for many different projects, so it would be surprising for them all to collapse simultaneously.