There are no concievable interventions someone could make with p non-tiny.
U, expected utility in a year in 500 years time, is approximately 0.
Something else… my setup of the situation is wrong, or unrealistic..?
1, in the sense I think the change in the immediate risk of human extinction per cost is astronomically low for any conceivable intervention. Relatedly, you may want to check my discussion with Larks in the post I linked to.
1, in the sense I think the change in the immediate risk of human extinction per cost is astronomically low for any conceivable intervention. Relatedly, you may want to check my discussion with Larks in the post I linked to.