I like the distinction between overreacting and underreacting as being “in the world” vs. “memes”—another way of saying this is something like “object level reality” vs. “social reality”.
If the longtermism wave is real, then that was pretty about social reality, at least within EA, and changed how money was spent and things people said (as I understand it, I wasn’t really socially involved at the time).
So to the extent that this is about “what’s happening to EA” I think there’s clearly a third wave here, where people are running and getting funded to run AI specific groups, people are doing policy and advocacy in a way I’ve never seen before.
If this ends up being a flash in the pan, then maybe the way to see this is something like a “trend” or “fad”, like maybe 2022-spending was.
Which maybe brings me to something like “we might want these waves to consistently be about “what’s happening in EA” vs “what’s happening in the world”, and they’re currently not.
I like the distinction between overreacting and underreacting as being “in the world” vs. “memes”—another way of saying this is something like “object level reality” vs. “social reality”.
If the longtermism wave is real, then that was pretty about social reality, at least within EA, and changed how money was spent and things people said (as I understand it, I wasn’t really socially involved at the time).
So to the extent that this is about “what’s happening to EA” I think there’s clearly a third wave here, where people are running and getting funded to run AI specific groups, people are doing policy and advocacy in a way I’ve never seen before.
If this ends up being a flash in the pan, then maybe the way to see this is something like a “trend” or “fad”, like maybe 2022-spending was.
Which maybe brings me to something like “we might want these waves to consistently be about “what’s happening in EA” vs “what’s happening in the world”, and they’re currently not.