The uncertainty of GiveDirectly and other GiveWell supported charities is not actually that high (about an order of magnitude for GiveDirectly, I expect over 2-3 orders of magnitude for the others).
That seems pretty high to me! When I’ve seen GiveDirectly used as a point of comparison for other global health/poverty charities, they’re usually described as 1-10x more effective (i.e. people care about distinctions within one order of magnitude).
That seems pretty high to me! When I’ve seen GiveDirectly used as a point of comparison for other global health/poverty charities, they’re usually described as 1-10x more effective (i.e. people care about distinctions within one order of magnitude).