I enjoyed reading this post! It is well-written. I agree with the general sentiment that future prediction is increasingly difficult the longer the horizon. Though my reasons are slightly different, like you, I still remain to be convinced that humanity can do anything in the present day to reduce risk from AGI. I was looking forward to seeing other’s responses but so far this topic hasn’t gotten much attention.
I’m fairly new to EA, but I imagine this is not the first time such a topic has come up. Maybe that’s the reason nobody has responded yet? If any veterans to this forum are aware of previous iterations of similar questions and their responses, please share!
I enjoyed reading this post! It is well-written. I agree with the general sentiment that future prediction is increasingly difficult the longer the horizon. Though my reasons are slightly different, like you, I still remain to be convinced that humanity can do anything in the present day to reduce risk from AGI. I was looking forward to seeing other’s responses but so far this topic hasn’t gotten much attention.
I’m fairly new to EA, but I imagine this is not the first time such a topic has come up. Maybe that’s the reason nobody has responded yet? If any veterans to this forum are aware of previous iterations of similar questions and their responses, please share!