Since I think substantial AI regulation will likely occur by default, I urge effective altruists to focus more on ensuring that the regulation is thoughtful and well-targeted rather than ensuring that regulation happens at all.
I think it would be fairly valuable to see a list of case studies or otherwise create base rates for arguments like “We’re seeing lots of political gesturing and talking, so this suggests real action will happen soon.” I am still worried that the action will get delayed, watered down, and/or diverted to less-existential risks, only for the government to move on to the next crisis.
But I agree that the past few weeks should be an update for many of the “government won’t do anything (useful)” pessimists (e.g., Nate Soares).
I think it would be fairly valuable to see a list of case studies or otherwise create base rates for arguments like “We’re seeing lots of political gesturing and talking, so this suggests real action will happen soon.” I am still worried that the action will get delayed, watered down, and/or diverted to less-existential risks, only for the government to move on to the next crisis. But I agree that the past few weeks should be an update for many of the “government won’t do anything (useful)” pessimists (e.g., Nate Soares).