In terms of result, yeah it does, but I sorta half-intentionally left that out because I don’t actually think LLS is true as it seems to often be stated.
Since we have the prior knowledge that we are looking at an experiment for which both success and failure are possible, our estimate is as if we had observed one success and one failure for sure before we even started the experiments.
seems both unconvincing as stated and, if assumed to be true, doesn’t depend on that crucial assumption
In terms of result,yeah it does, but I sorta half-intentionally left that out because I don’t actually think LLS is true as it seems to often be stated.Why the strikethrough: after writing the shortform, I get that e.g., “if we know nothing more about them” and “in the absence of additional information” mean “conditional on a uniform prior,” but I didn’t get that before. And Wikipedia’s explanation of the rule,
seems both unconvincing as stated and, if assumed to be true, doesn’t depend on that crucial assumption