a 5% chance of these being extraterrestrial crafts seems to be a very conservative estimate with another 5% allocated to advanced earth technology also seeming a reasonable lower bound
Actually, I think these estimates are extremely high. I don’t think this post engages enough with mundane explanations (as in this Salon post)).
Agree these estimates are high, but disagree with Salon. While there are plenty of mundane potential explanations, I think suggesting that the 144 minus 1 sightings investigated in the Pentagon report are in fact explained is misleading. My starting assumption is that the Pentagon would have been able to diagnose something like a FLIR glare filter.
I get that there’s a sensationalism to the UFO angle, but I suspect in this community, we might be more susceptible to to letting cultural taboos around “seeing things in the sky” lead us to a really unscientific skepticism on this topic, which was definitely the status quo prior to the release of the report.
My only other point is that the mundane explanations are also super important to explore! Many of them have major national security implications.
Actually, I think these estimates are extremely high. I don’t think this post engages enough with mundane explanations (as in this Salon post)).
Agree these estimates are high, but disagree with Salon. While there are plenty of mundane potential explanations, I think suggesting that the 144 minus 1 sightings investigated in the Pentagon report are in fact explained is misleading. My starting assumption is that the Pentagon would have been able to diagnose something like a FLIR glare filter.
I get that there’s a sensationalism to the UFO angle, but I suspect in this community, we might be more susceptible to to letting cultural taboos around “seeing things in the sky” lead us to a really unscientific skepticism on this topic, which was definitely the status quo prior to the release of the report.
My only other point is that the mundane explanations are also super important to explore! Many of them have major national security implications.