Over the past year or so, I’ve become increasingly convinced by arguments that we are clueless about the sign (in terms of expected total suffering reduced) of interventions aimed at reducing s-risk.
I believe one can positively influence futures which have an astronomical positive or negative value, but negligibly so. I think the effects of one’s actions are well approximated by considering just the 1st 100 years or so.
Thanks for the update!
I believe one can positively influence futures which have an astronomical positive or negative value, but negligibly so. I think the effects of one’s actions are well approximated by considering just the 1st 100 years or so.