I’m afraid this really doesn’t read to me as being clear about how narrowly a focus this argument takes. I have literally seen people say “Now I’ve heard about the poor meat eater problem I’ve stopped donating to SCI”, so simply saying you don’t draw any conclusion is not, I think, sufficient justification for advancing such a one sided argument. Those things you wave away in the sentence above will in all likelihood completely dwarf the numbers below.
If people make bad decisions then that’s unfortunate, but all other things being equal more information leads to better decisions and EA is the last movement which needs to have its strings pulled. I would expect that giving more information about different aspects of issues is always good and I would be happy to see people weigh in on those issues. I don’t have the time to write about everything. Personally I had no idea that anyone in the movement had even mentioned this at all within the past few years and I had never seen someone object to it, so I didn’t expect there to be this problem.
I do find it odd that you see social stability as having positive x-risk only in developed countries though.
I didn’t say anything yet about the impact on x risk of developing countries. Again, that’s outside the bounds of what I’m looking at.
If you’d like to have a broad discussion of cause prioritization then I’d be happy to, but it would have to start with me laying down a full set of ideas, as opposed to having my priorities be extrapolated from a very narrow analysis.
“If people make bad decisions then that’s unfortunate, but all other things being equal more information leads to better decisions and EA is the last movement which needs to have its strings pulled. ”
To be clear: I am not advocating censorship. I’m advocating putting information in a context that makes its scope and importance apparent. It would be naive to ignore that some ideas have mimetic pull, particularly if you’re being counter-intuitive by advancing an argument that aid is bad.
“I don’t have the time to write about everything.”
No of course not, but of all the problems in all the gin joints in all the world, you picked this one. That is a form of cause prioritisation, and I think it’s reasonable to draw some inference from that action.
To be clear: I am not advocating censorship. I’m advocating putting information in a context that makes its scope and importance apparent. It would be naive to ignore that some ideas have mimetic pull, particularly if you’re being counter-intuitive by advancing an argument that aid is bad.
I put my argument in a good enough context for someone who was interested in reading and understanding my point of view to fully understand my scope and assumptions. I trust people on this forum to be rational enough about the issue, and I believe I clearly did make the scope and importance of this issue apparent by explicitly stating the many limits of my analysis and drawing zero conclusions or speculation about whether “aid is bad”, so I suppose we’re at an impasse about that.
It’s possible that the issue of meat consumption in the developing world has overly strong “memetic pull”, but I don’t see why I should be more worried about that than the “memetic pull” of pro-aid arguments (which, for the longest time, EAs have been deliberately trying to make more emotionally appealing) as well as the memetic pull of x-risk arguments (which have earned accusations of being cultish and ridiculous because of their memetic appearance) and so on and so forth.
No of course not, but of all the problems in all the gin joints in all the world, you picked this one.
Yes, because in many months/over a year of watching this forum, the EA subreddit, many EA blogs/organizations/websites, and multiple EA facebook groups, I have never once seen someone bring it up. So as far as I could tell, it’s been comparatively under-recognized. Whatever flame wars broke out about this in 2012 and 2013, I haven’t seen them, and I suspect that many others on this forum haven’t either.
If people make bad decisions then that’s unfortunate, but all other things being equal more information leads to better decisions and EA is the last movement which needs to have its strings pulled. I would expect that giving more information about different aspects of issues is always good and I would be happy to see people weigh in on those issues. I don’t have the time to write about everything. Personally I had no idea that anyone in the movement had even mentioned this at all within the past few years and I had never seen someone object to it, so I didn’t expect there to be this problem.
I didn’t say anything yet about the impact on x risk of developing countries. Again, that’s outside the bounds of what I’m looking at.
If you’d like to have a broad discussion of cause prioritization then I’d be happy to, but it would have to start with me laying down a full set of ideas, as opposed to having my priorities be extrapolated from a very narrow analysis.
“If people make bad decisions then that’s unfortunate, but all other things being equal more information leads to better decisions and EA is the last movement which needs to have its strings pulled. ”
To be clear: I am not advocating censorship. I’m advocating putting information in a context that makes its scope and importance apparent. It would be naive to ignore that some ideas have mimetic pull, particularly if you’re being counter-intuitive by advancing an argument that aid is bad.
“I don’t have the time to write about everything.”
No of course not, but of all the problems in all the gin joints in all the world, you picked this one. That is a form of cause prioritisation, and I think it’s reasonable to draw some inference from that action.
I put my argument in a good enough context for someone who was interested in reading and understanding my point of view to fully understand my scope and assumptions. I trust people on this forum to be rational enough about the issue, and I believe I clearly did make the scope and importance of this issue apparent by explicitly stating the many limits of my analysis and drawing zero conclusions or speculation about whether “aid is bad”, so I suppose we’re at an impasse about that.
It’s possible that the issue of meat consumption in the developing world has overly strong “memetic pull”, but I don’t see why I should be more worried about that than the “memetic pull” of pro-aid arguments (which, for the longest time, EAs have been deliberately trying to make more emotionally appealing) as well as the memetic pull of x-risk arguments (which have earned accusations of being cultish and ridiculous because of their memetic appearance) and so on and so forth.
Yes, because in many months/over a year of watching this forum, the EA subreddit, many EA blogs/organizations/websites, and multiple EA facebook groups, I have never once seen someone bring it up. So as far as I could tell, it’s been comparatively under-recognized. Whatever flame wars broke out about this in 2012 and 2013, I haven’t seen them, and I suspect that many others on this forum haven’t either.
I searched the EA Facebook group, it looks like it has come up a total of three times:
https://www.facebook.com/groups/effective.altruists/permalink/539157796140582/
https://www.facebook.com/groups/effective.altruists/permalink/501491619907200/
https://www.facebook.com/groups/effective.altruists/permalink/543620345694327/
The first two threads have a decent amount of discussion.
There’s also a Facebook group, although it’s inactive:
https://www.facebook.com/groups/370060246454362/
If you use the search function in the main facebook group it’s quite straightforward to find plenty of discussion.