While I think it’s useful to have concrete records like this, I would caution against drawing conclusions about the cultured meat community specifically unless we draw a comparison with other fields and find that forecast accuracy is better anywhere else. I’d expect that overoptimistic forecasts are just very common when people evaluate their own work in any field.
While I think it’s useful to have concrete records like this, I would caution against drawing conclusions about the cultured meat community specifically unless we draw a comparison with other fields and find that forecast accuracy is better anywhere else. I’d expect that overoptimistic forecasts are just very common when people evaluate their own work in any field.