I am also thinking of how there has been more back-and-forth about the optimizer’s curse, people saying it needs to be taken more seriously etc.
I don’t think that the prescriptive vs descriptive nature really changes things, descriptive philosophizing about methodology is arguably not as good as just telling EAs what to do differently and why.
I grant that #3 on this list is the rarest out of the 4. The established EA groups are generally doing fine here AFAIK. There is a CSER writeup on methodology here which is perfectly good: https://www.cser.ac.uk/resources/probabilities-methodologies-and-evidence-base-existential-risk-assessments-cccr2018/ it’s about a specific domain that they know, rather than EA stuff in general.