Specifically when looking at policy related stuff, I like to look at whether they are being followed by very good forecasting people, as that’s an indication to me that their posts contain a lot of decision relevant information /​ that they have higher than average epistemic standards.
There’s a pretty big overlap between the forecasting people and EA folk though.
Specifically when looking at policy related stuff, I like to look at whether they are being followed by very good forecasting people, as that’s an indication to me that their posts contain a lot of decision relevant information /​ that they have higher than average epistemic standards.
There’s a pretty big overlap between the forecasting people and EA folk though.
Hmm that makes sense. Thank you!