1. Highly subsidized prediction market on the effectiveness of various possible interventions.
Alternatively: add this feature on other prediction aggregation platforms (see this feature suggestion on Metaculus)
Related: Do You Feel Lucky, Punk?
2. Inducement prize contests for various important milestones (maybe)
two of the main blockers for predictions markets seem to be 1) legality, and 2) subsidies. seems like this state of emergency / immediate potential benefit of prediction markets might be a good time to address 1), and maybe even 2)
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1. Highly subsidized prediction market on the effectiveness of various possible interventions.
Alternatively: add this feature on other prediction aggregation platforms (see this feature suggestion on Metaculus)
Related: Do You Feel Lucky, Punk?
2. Inducement prize contests for various important milestones (maybe)
two of the main blockers for predictions markets seem to be 1) legality, and 2) subsidies. seems like this state of emergency / immediate potential benefit of prediction markets might be a good time to address 1), and maybe even 2)