Thanks! Yeah, sorry—I was thinking about putting it up all at once but decided against because that would make for a very long post. Maybe I should have anyway, so it’s all in one place.
Well, I don’t share your intuition, but I’d love to see it explored more. Maybe you can get an argument out of it. One way to try would be to try to find a class of at least 10^10^10^10 hypotheses that are at least as plausible as the Mugger’s story.
Thanks! Yeah, sorry—I was thinking about putting it up all at once but decided against because that would make for a very long post. Maybe I should have anyway, so it’s all in one place.
Well, I don’t share your intuition, but I’d love to see it explored more. Maybe you can get an argument out of it. One way to try would be to try to find a class of at least 10^10^10^10 hypotheses that are at least as plausible as the Mugger’s story.