IIRC the main concern in the earlier conversations was about how many high-impact roles of this type there might really be in the next couple decades. Probably the number is smaller than (e.g.) the number of similarly high-impact “AI policy” roles, but (as our post says) we think the number of high-impact roles of this type will be substantial. And given how few GCR-focused people there are in general, and how few of them are likely a personal fit for this kind of career path anyway, it might well be that even if many of the people who are a good fit for this path pursue it, that would still not be enough to meet expected need in the next couple decades.
IIRC the main concern in the earlier conversations was about how many high-impact roles of this type there might really be in the next couple decades. Probably the number is smaller than (e.g.) the number of similarly high-impact “AI policy” roles, but (as our post says) we think the number of high-impact roles of this type will be substantial. And given how few GCR-focused people there are in general, and how few of them are likely a personal fit for this kind of career path anyway, it might well be that even if many of the people who are a good fit for this path pursue it, that would still not be enough to meet expected need in the next couple decades.