It seems possible, although not a sure thing that expectation(“world with no nukes”)(1)>expectation(“world with nukes”)(2).
However the far more realistic situation is “world where some countries, eg US, get rid of nukes”(3). I think these(2,3) are very different situations. do you agree/ would you like to clarify which you are describing?
It seems not that hard to argue the US dropping/decaying its nuclear Arsenal without other countries doing the same would be bad.
Unilateral disarmament by the US seems bad, but if the US and USSR eliminated all nukes, as they almost did in 1986, that seems good to me. No other countries had anywhere close the number, and we could have been much more convincing in getting other countries to follow suit.
It seems possible, although not a sure thing that expectation(“world with no nukes”)(1)>expectation(“world with nukes”)(2).
However the far more realistic situation is “world where some countries, eg US, get rid of nukes”(3). I think these(2,3) are very different situations. do you agree/ would you like to clarify which you are describing?
It seems not that hard to argue the US dropping/decaying its nuclear Arsenal without other countries doing the same would be bad.
Also: Nuke sequence on the forum
Unilateral disarmament by the US seems bad, but if the US and USSR eliminated all nukes, as they almost did in 1986, that seems good to me. No other countries had anywhere close the number, and we could have been much more convincing in getting other countries to follow suit.