Perhaps it is linked here in one place or another (if so, sorry, not able to find it after a couple of scans or my memory is failing me!) but Metaculus also has what I believe is a relevant prediction, at the time of writing putting the chance of another donor on the scale of Effective Ventures in 2026 at 50%.
Perhaps it is linked here in one place or another (if so, sorry, not able to find it after a couple of scans or my memory is failing me!) but Metaculus also has what I believe is a relevant prediction, at the time of writing putting the chance of another donor on the scale of Effective Ventures in 2026 at 50%.