but there must be places where you’d strongly disagree w the superforecastersince you disagree with them eventually, e.g. >2/3 doom by 2030
but there must be places where you’d strongly disagree w the superforecaster
since you disagree with them eventually, e.g. >2/3 doom by 2030
On LW, Eliezer notes that this isn’t an actual prediction he’s made, and is based on a misunderstanding of something he wrote once.
(Will update the post with an inline comment to note this.)
On LW, Eliezer notes that this isn’t an actual prediction he’s made, and is based on a misunderstanding of something he wrote once.
(Will update the post with an inline comment to note this.)