Hi all, I’m Michael Simm. I am a nonprofit entreprenuer focused on disruptive systems (eg, understanding and using emerging technologies to make the future better). I’d love to see how much if at all people in EA are familiar with disruptive technologies and how open they might be to learning about a new one, one that might impact EA greatly.
When I first became interested in disruptive technologies, I had my focus on climate change. I quickly identified electric cars, solar panels, and energy storage (particularly batteries) to be on the verge of upending reliance on fossil fuels and global transportation systems. Then, I ran across Dr. Tony Seba, who was one of the only people to accurately predict the massive price declines of solar, electric cars, and batteries. He’s now doing fantastic research into the coming disruptions in energy, transportation, and other areas with an organization called RethinkX.
RethinkX has predicted, among other things, that there will be almost no gas cars sold by 2030, and that the animal agriculture industry is headed into widespread bankruptcy (which would be very good for animal welfare interests). They’ve found that disruption generally happens when any system proves 5X better than the incumbent one, thus opening a huge opportunity space.
The nonprofit I founded, is designed to leverage the disruptive potential of the most cost-effective anti-poverty intervention in developed countries (guaranteed income), and use it to make a big impact against homelessness and then poverty over time. This could sound far-fetched, but I think that our pilot project is likely to outperform a lot of EA developing world interventions in cost per QALY. I’m working on a major post to introduce it later this week so please reach outif you’d be interested in contributing.
Thank you for the teaser of your post coming next week, I am currious about your theory of change and how you plan to outperform existing high impact charities.
If you want me to read your post beforehand for a short feedback I can help you.
Greetings
Felix
PS: nice to hear you participate in the fellowship, have fun in the discussions. :) I am currently doing a longtermism fellowship organized by EA Munich from Germany.
Please check it out (and upvote so more people see it) and try to find any holes in the plan, that’s largely why I put it here.
PS: I really did have such a great time with my EA program this fall, I actually got our 501(c)(3) determination letter in the middle of it. Do you have any thoughts on the ‘longtermist Implications’ section? Maybe even share it with your cohort?
Hi all, I’m Michael Simm. I am a nonprofit entreprenuer focused on disruptive systems (eg, understanding and using emerging technologies to make the future better). I’d love to see how much if at all people in EA are familiar with disruptive technologies and how open they might be to learning about a new one, one that might impact EA greatly.
When I first became interested in disruptive technologies, I had my focus on climate change. I quickly identified electric cars, solar panels, and energy storage (particularly batteries) to be on the verge of upending reliance on fossil fuels and global transportation systems. Then, I ran across Dr. Tony Seba, who was one of the only people to accurately predict the massive price declines of solar, electric cars, and batteries. He’s now doing fantastic research into the coming disruptions in energy, transportation, and other areas with an organization called RethinkX.
RethinkX has predicted, among other things, that there will be almost no gas cars sold by 2030, and that the animal agriculture industry is headed into widespread bankruptcy (which would be very good for animal welfare interests). They’ve found that disruption generally happens when any system proves 5X better than the incumbent one, thus opening a huge opportunity space.
The nonprofit I founded, is designed to leverage the disruptive potential of the most cost-effective anti-poverty intervention in developed countries (guaranteed income), and use it to make a big impact against homelessness and then poverty over time. This could sound far-fetched, but I think that our pilot project is likely to outperform a lot of EA developing world interventions in cost per QALY. I’m working on a major post to introduce it later this week so please reach out if you’d be interested in contributing.
Hello Michael, welcome to EA and the forum. :)
Thank you for the teaser of your post coming next week, I am currious about your theory of change and how you plan to outperform existing high impact charities.
If you want me to read your post beforehand for a short feedback I can help you.
Greetings
Felix
PS: nice to hear you participate in the fellowship, have fun in the discussions. :) I am currently doing a longtermism fellowship organized by EA Munich from Germany.
Thanks for helping me edit the post that I just finished!
I wasn’t kidding about having a plan to not just outperform GiveWell Top Charities, but fully fund all of them—as a side project no less...
Introducing The Logical Foundation, A Plan to End Poverty With Guaranteed Income
Please check it out (and upvote so more people see it) and try to find any holes in the plan, that’s largely why I put it here.
PS: I really did have such a great time with my EA program this fall, I actually got our 501(c)(3) determination letter in the middle of it. Do you have any thoughts on the ‘longtermist Implications’ section? Maybe even share it with your cohort?