Fwiw I think the “deepfakes will be a huge deal” stuff has been pretty overhyped and the main reason we haven’t seen huge negative impacts is that society already has reasonable defences against fake images that prevent many people from getting misled by them.
I don’t think this applies to many other mouse style risks that the AI X-risk community cares about.
For example the main differences in my view between AI-enabled deepfakes and AI-enabled biorisks are: * marginal people getting access to bioweapons is just a much bigger deal than marginal people being able to make deepfakes * there is much less room for the price of deepfakes to decrease than the cost of developing a bioweapon (photoshop has existed for a long time and expertise is relatively cheap).
Fwiw I think the “deepfakes will be a huge deal” stuff has been pretty overhyped and the main reason we haven’t seen huge negative impacts is that society already has reasonable defences against fake images that prevent many people from getting misled by them.
I don’t think this applies to many other mouse style risks that the AI X-risk community cares about.
For example the main differences in my view between AI-enabled deepfakes and AI-enabled biorisks are:
* marginal people getting access to bioweapons is just a much bigger deal than marginal people being able to make deepfakes
* there is much less room for the price of deepfakes to decrease than the cost of developing a bioweapon (photoshop has existed for a long time and expertise is relatively cheap).