I think that the appropriate medium-term fit for the movement will be with organised labour (whether left or right!), as I’ve said before here. The economic impacts are not currently strong enough to have been felt in the unemployment rate, particularly since anti-inflationary policies typically prop up the employment rate a bit. But they will presumably be felt soon, and the natural home for those affected will be in the labour movement, which despite its currently weakened state will always be bigger and more mobile than, say, PauseAI.
In that world, the best thing EAs can do is support that movement. Not necessarily explicitly or directly—I can see a world where Open Phil lobbies to strengthen the U.S. NLRB and overturn key Supreme Court decisions such as Janus. But, such a move will be perceived as highly political, and I wonder if the allergy to labour-left politics within EA precludes it.
I think that the appropriate medium-term fit for the movement will be with organised labour (whether left or right!), as I’ve said before here. The economic impacts are not currently strong enough to have been felt in the unemployment rate, particularly since anti-inflationary policies typically prop up the employment rate a bit. But they will presumably be felt soon, and the natural home for those affected will be in the labour movement, which despite its currently weakened state will always be bigger and more mobile than, say, PauseAI.
(Specifically in tech, where I have more experience in labour organising, the largest political contingent among the workers has always been on the labour left. For example, [Bernie Sanders was far and away the most donated to candidate among big tech employees in 2020](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/mar/02/election-2020-tech-workers-donations-bernie-sanders).)
In that world, the best thing EAs can do is support that movement. Not necessarily explicitly or directly—I can see a world where Open Phil lobbies to strengthen the U.S. NLRB and overturn key Supreme Court decisions such as Janus. But, such a move will be perceived as highly political, and I wonder if the allergy to labour-left politics within EA precludes it.