I think the elephant in the room might be OpenPhil spending at least $211m on “Effective Altruism Community Growth (Longtermism)”, including 80k spending $2.6m in marketing in 2022.[1]
As those efforts get results I expect the % of EA growth from those sources to increase.
High uncertainty, but for LW and ACX users I’m not sure about the view that they have of CEA spaces. My impression is that for LW users it mightplausibly be negative, so they might spend relatively less time in the places where this survey was advertised (which are mostly CEA-run / OpenPhil Longtermist Community Growth—funded).
I think that’s negligible compared to the $200m effort in longtermism community growth from OpenPhil, and again I’m really uncertain about this, but there might be a lot of EAs (e.g. GiveWell donors) that might have become relatively less likely to respond to these surveys
I think the elephant in the room might be OpenPhil spending at least $211m on “Effective Altruism Community Growth (Longtermism)”, including 80k spending $2.6m in marketing in 2022.[1]
As those efforts get results I expect the % of EA growth from those sources to increase.
I also expect EA™ spaces where these surveys are advertised to over-represent “longermism”/”x-risk reduction” (in part because of donor preferences, and in part because they are more useful for some EAs), so that would impact the % of people coming to these spaces from things like GiveWell.
High uncertainty, but for LW and ACX users I’m not sure about the view that they have of CEA spaces. My impression is that for LW users it might plausibly be negative, so they might spend relatively less time in the places where this survey was advertised (which are mostly CEA-run / OpenPhil Longtermist Community Growth—funded).
I think that’s negligible compared to the $200m effort in longtermism community growth from OpenPhil, and again I’m really uncertain about this, but there might be a lot of EAs (e.g. GiveWell donors) that might have become relatively less likely to respond to these surveys
Some of it in late 2022, but I think the main point still stands