For many CE-incubated charities, the obvious counterfactual donation would be to GiveWell top charities, and that’s a really high bar.
I think this is right and important. Possible additional layer: some donors are more comfortable with experimental or hits based giving than others. Those people disproportionately go into x-risk. The donors remaining in global poverty/health are both more adverse to uncertainty and have options to avoid it (both objectively, and vibe-wise)
I think this is right and important. Possible additional layer: some donors are more comfortable with experimental or hits based giving than others. Those people disproportionately go into x-risk. The donors remaining in global poverty/health are both more adverse to uncertainty and have options to avoid it (both objectively, and vibe-wise)