I understand, I struggled to find a way to make it shorter. I actually thought it needed to be longer, to make more explicit each section. I thought that if I could explain in detail, a lot more of this worldview would make sense to more people. If you could give me an example on how to condense a section and keep the message intact please let me know. It’s a challenge that I’m working on.
2. Even compared to the unfortunately speculative evidence base of the average AGI post, this is one of the worst. It basically merely asserts that AGI won’t come, and makes statements, but 0 evidence is there.
On the contrary I believe AGI will come. I wrote this in may essay. AGI is possible. But I don’t think it will come spontaneously. We will need the required knowledge to program it.
3. Some portions of his argument don’t really relate to his main thesis. This is especially so for the Bayesian section, where that section is a derail from his main point.
I can see how I leaned very heavily on the Bayesian section (my wife had the same critique) but I felt it important to stress the differing approaches to scientific understandings, between Bayesianism and Fallibilism. I’m under the impression many people don’t know the differences.
Please see my response in Bold.
It’s way longer than necessary.
I understand, I struggled to find a way to make it shorter. I actually thought it needed to be longer, to make more explicit each section. I thought that if I could explain in detail, a lot more of this worldview would make sense to more people. If you could give me an example on how to condense a section and keep the message intact please let me know. It’s a challenge that I’m working on.
2. Even compared to the unfortunately speculative evidence base of the average AGI post, this is one of the worst. It basically merely asserts that AGI won’t come, and makes statements, but 0 evidence is there.
On the contrary I believe AGI will come. I wrote this in may essay. AGI is possible. But I don’t think it will come spontaneously. We will need the required knowledge to program it.
3. Some portions of his argument don’t really relate to his main thesis. This is especially so for the Bayesian section, where that section is a derail from his main point.
I can see how I leaned very heavily on the Bayesian section (my wife had the same critique) but I felt it important to stress the differing approaches to scientific understandings, between Bayesianism and Fallibilism. I’m under the impression many people don’t know the differences.