Im sympathetic to the argument, and I’d go so far as to say: Predictability is so low, the EV of most possible actions is zero (partially due to symmetry, I think cluelessness gets this ~ wrong) unless I manage to find a small pocket of predictability of how my actions meaningfully impact the world. So I’m largely very short-termist in what I do. Is this different to what you’re saying here?
Im sympathetic to the argument, and I’d go so far as to say: Predictability is so low, the EV of most possible actions is zero (partially due to symmetry, I think cluelessness gets this ~ wrong) unless I manage to find a small pocket of predictability of how my actions meaningfully impact the world.
So I’m largely very short-termist in what I do. Is this different to what you’re saying here?