Greg Brockman makes a case for short timelines in this presentation: Can we rule out near-term AGI? My prior is that deep neural nets are insufficient for AGI, and the increasing amounts of compute necessary to achieve breakthroughs reveals limits of the paradigm, but Greg’s outside view argument is hard to dismiss.
Greg Brockman makes a case for short timelines in this presentation: Can we rule out near-term AGI? My prior is that deep neural nets are insufficient for AGI, and the increasing amounts of compute necessary to achieve breakthroughs reveals limits of the paradigm, but Greg’s outside view argument is hard to dismiss.