I completely agree. I considered making the point in the post itself, but I didn’t because I’m not sure about the practical implications myself!
I agree it’s really complicated, but merits some thinking. The one practical implication I take is “if 80k says I should be doing X, there’s almost no chance X will be the best thing I could do by the time I’m in a position to do it”
That seems very strong—you’re saying all our recommendations are wrong, even though we’re already trying to take account of this effect.
I completely agree. I considered making the point in the post itself, but I didn’t because I’m not sure about the practical implications myself!
I agree it’s really complicated, but merits some thinking. The one practical implication I take is “if 80k says I should be doing X, there’s almost no chance X will be the best thing I could do by the time I’m in a position to do it”
That seems very strong—you’re saying all our recommendations are wrong, even though we’re already trying to take account of this effect.