I agree with the “in short” section. I’m less sure about exactly how it changes things. It seems reasonable to think more about your comparative advantage compared to the world as a whole (taking that as a proxy for the future composition of the community), or maybe just try to think more about which types of talent will be hardest to attract in the long-term. I don’t think much the changes in advice about etg and consulting were due to this exact mistake.
One small thing we’ll do to help with this is ask people to project the biggest talent shortages at longer time horizons in our next talent survey.
I agree with the “in short” section. I’m less sure about exactly how it changes things. It seems reasonable to think more about your comparative advantage compared to the world as a whole (taking that as a proxy for the future composition of the community), or maybe just try to think more about which types of talent will be hardest to attract in the long-term. I don’t think much the changes in advice about etg and consulting were due to this exact mistake.
One small thing we’ll do to help with this is ask people to project the biggest talent shortages at longer time horizons in our next talent survey.