Really appreciate this post. Recently I’ve felt less certain about whether slowing down AI is feasible or helpful in the near future.
I think how productive current alignment and related research is at the moment is a key crux for me. If it’s actually quite valuable at the moment, maybe having more time would seem better.
It does seem easier to centralize now when there are fewer labs and entrenched ways of doing things, though it’s possible that exponentially rising costs could lead to centralization through market dynamics anyway. Though maybe that would be short lived and some breakthrough after would change the cost of training dramatically.
Really appreciate this post. Recently I’ve felt less certain about whether slowing down AI is feasible or helpful in the near future.
I think how productive current alignment and related research is at the moment is a key crux for me. If it’s actually quite valuable at the moment, maybe having more time would seem better.
It does seem easier to centralize now when there are fewer labs and entrenched ways of doing things, though it’s possible that exponentially rising costs could lead to centralization through market dynamics anyway. Though maybe that would be short lived and some breakthrough after would change the cost of training dramatically.